Alexander Bublik vs Alexander Zverev — Montpellier Final

Montpellier · ATP · Final
Alexander Bublik
KAZ6
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 January 2022
hard
Alexander Zverev
GER1
Alexander Zverev
#2ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Bublik A.
6-4 6-3
Zverev A.
Bublik A.
662
Zverev A.
430

Alexander Bublik defeated Alexander Zverev 6-4 6-3 in the Montpellier final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #2. Alexander Bublik extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

2–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-19HalleSFgrassAlexander Bublik6-3 7-5
2023-04-10Monte Carlo MastersR64clayAlexander Zverev3-6 6-2 6-4
2021-03-01RotterdamR32hardAlexander Bublik7-5 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Zverev A.
65
Serve
71
25
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Bublik A.Zverev A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
69%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
11.1
8.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bublik A.Zverev A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
94
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
67
90
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bublik A.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Zverev A.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1837
Surface ELO
7.3+205 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 2100
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.0
Surface form
7.8
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
4.7
4.0
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
6.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bublik A.Zverev A.
Freshness·Dominant
78
45

Bublik A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 148 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
9°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 67%
Final
Bublik A.[6]
Zverev A.[1]
6-46-3
Semi-finals
Zverev A.[1]
Ymer M.
6-16-3
Bublik A.[6]
Krajinovic F.[5]
6-46-2
Quarter-finals
Zverev A.[1]
Mannarino A.
6-16-0
Ymer M.
Gasquet R.
7-56-766-1
Krajinovic F.[5]
Dzumhur D.
7-56-2
Bublik A.[6]
Bautista Agut R.[2]
6-42-67-64
R16
Bautista Agut R.[2]
Simon G.
6-43-2
Bublik A.[6]
Herbert P.
6-36-726-2
Ymer M.
Monfils G.[3]
6-16-2
Zverev A.[1]
Mcdonald M.
6-27-65
Mannarino A.
Goffin D.[8]
6-46-2
Gasquet R.
Kwon S.
7-56-4
Krajinovic F.[5]
Tsonga J.
6-47-62
Dzumhur D.
Basilashvili N.[4]
6-15-76-2
R32
Bublik A.[6]
Griekspoor T.
7-647-65
Goffin D.[8]
Bonzi B.
2-67-56-1
Kwon S.
Gaston H.
6-26-1
Simon G.
Pouille L.
7-645-76-4
Herbert P.
Gojowczyk P.
7-56-2
Mcdonald M.
Ivashka I.
6-37-62
Mannarino A.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-26-4
Ymer M.
Moutet C.
7-656-4
Gasquet R.
Humbert U.[7]
6-736-46-3
Krajinovic F.[5]
Popyrin A.
7-57-63
Tsonga J.
Zuk K.
6-46-4
Dzumhur D.
Molcan A.
7-656-0