Alexander Bublik vs Roberto Bautista AgutMontpellier Quarter-final

Montpellier · ATP · Quarter-final
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 January 2022
hard
#183ATP
1700ELO
1668Hard ELO
$430kYTD
$20MCAREER
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
Bublik A.
6-4 2-6 7-6
Bautista Agut R.
Bublik A.
62772
Bautista Agut R.
46641

Alexander Bublik defeated Roberto Bautista Agut 6-4 2-6 7-6 in the Montpellier quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11. Alexander Bublik extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-03-08DohaR16hardRoberto Bautista Agut6-4 6-3
2016-10-17MoscowR16hardAlexander Bublik6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bautista Agut R.

Bautista Agut R.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Bautista Agut R.
65
Serve
23
25
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.0
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
85
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Slight edge
67
75
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
87
Tiebreaks·Even
96
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+169 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 1668
7.4Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1700
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.0
Surface form
6.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
5.4
4.0
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.5
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
66
97

Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d) · Bautista Agut R.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
9°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 67%