Francisco Cerundolo vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliSanta Cruz CH Final

Santa Cruz CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#22ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 January 2022
clay
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Cerundolo F.
6-4 6-3
Ugo Carabelli C.
Cerundolo F.
662
Ugo Carabelli C.
430

Francisco Cerundolo defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-4 6-3 in the Santa Cruz CH final on clay. The result followed the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Francisco Cerundolo extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-02-07Buenos AiresQ1clayFrancisco Cerundolo6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo F.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cerundolo F.Ugo Carabelli C.
26
Serve
24
99
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
90
Break points won·Clear edge
86
62
Deciding sets·Even
94
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+128 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Clay Elo 1741
6.9Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1759
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.9
Surface form
6.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
6.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
100

Cerundolo F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast