Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Andrea PellegrinoForli 3 CH Round of 16

Forli 3 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#233ATP
1468ELO
1478Hard ELO
31 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 January 2022
hard
#138ATP
1674ELO
1422Hard ELO
$320kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWWL
Ferreira Silva F.
4-6 7-6 7-6
Pellegrino A.
Ferreira Silva F.
477772
Pellegrino A.
665651

Frederico Ferreira Silva defeated Andrea Pellegrino 4-6 7-6 7-6 in the Forli 3 CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrea Pellegrino came in ranked #138.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ferreira Silva F.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Pellegrino A.

Pellegrino A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Ferreira Silva F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
34
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
67
Break points won·Slight edge
26
35
Deciding sets·Dominant
56
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
6
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.7+57 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1422
4.3Overall Elo 1468
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1674
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
2.5
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
86

Ferreira Silva F.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Pellegrino A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast