Lucia Bronzetti vs Varvara Gracheva — Australian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 128
Lucia Bronzetti
ITA
Lucia Bronzetti
#139WTA
1622ELO
1551Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 January 2022
hard
Varvara Gracheva
FRA
Varvara Gracheva
#95WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Bronzetti L.
3-6 6-2 6-3
Gracheva V.
Bronzetti L.
3662
Gracheva V.
6231

Lucia Bronzetti defeated Varvara Gracheva 3-6 6-2 6-3 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in ranked #95, defending last year's round of 64. Lucia Bronzetti extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22MadridR128clayLucia Bronzetti6-3 6-3
2023-06-26Bad HomburgQFgrassLucia Bronzetti6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Bronzetti L.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Gracheva V.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Bronzetti L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bronzetti L.Gracheva V.
12
Serve
3
14
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Bronzetti L.Gracheva V.
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bronzetti L.Gracheva V.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
74
Break points saved·Even
74
76
Break points won·Even
84
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
60
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
48
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bronzetti L.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Gracheva V.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Hard Elo 1551
Surface ELO
8.2+213 Hard Elo edge
1.6Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
8.4Overall Elo 1810
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
3.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bronzetti L.Gracheva V.
Freshness·
100
—

Bronzetti L.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw

Final
Barty A.[1]
Collins D.[27]
6-37-62
Semi-finals
Collins D.[27]
Swiatek I.[7]
6-46-1
Barty A.[1]
Keys M.
6-16-3
Quarter-finals
Keys M.
Krejcikova B.[4]
6-36-2
Swiatek I.[7]
Kanepi K.
4-67-626-3
Barty A.[1]
Pegula J.[21]
6-26-0
Collins D.[27]
Cornet A.
7-56-1
R16
Barty A.[1]
Anisimova A.
6-46-3
Keys M.
Badosa P.[8]
6-36-1
Swiatek I.[7]
Cirstea S.
5-76-36-3
Kanepi K.
Sabalenka A.[2]
5-76-27-67
Krejcikova B.[4]
Azarenka V.[24]
6-26-2
Cornet A.
Halep S.[14]
6-43-66-4
Pegula J.[21]
Sakkari M.[5]
7-606-3
Collins D.[27]
Mertens E.[19]
4-66-46-4
R32
Anisimova A.
Osaka N.[13]
4-66-37-65
Pegula J.[21]
Parrizas Diaz N.
7-636-2
Keys M.
Wang Q.
4-66-37-62
Badosa P.[8]
Kostyuk M.
6-25-76-4
Collins D.[27]
Tauson C.
4-66-47-5
Mertens E.[19]
Zhang S.
6-26-2
Halep S.[14]
Kovinic D.
6-26-1
Cornet A.
Zidansek T.[29]
4-66-46-2
Kanepi K.
Inglis M.
2-66-26-0
Sabalenka A.[2]
Vondrousova M.[31]
4-66-36-1
Cirstea S.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[10]
6-32-66-2
Barty A.[1]
Giorgi C.[30]
6-26-3
Sakkari M.[5]
Kudermetova V.[28]
6-46-1
Krejcikova B.[4]
Ostapenko J.[26]
2-66-46-4
Swiatek I.[7]
Kasatkina D.[25]
6-26-3
Azarenka V.[24]
Svitolina E.[15]
6-06-2
R64
Svitolina E.[15]
Tan H.
6-35-75-1
Parrizas Diaz N.
Zanevska M.
W/O
Zhang S.
Rybakina E.[12]
6-41-0
Barty A.[1]
Bronzetti L.
6-16-1
Giorgi C.[30]
Martincova T.
6-27-62
Kudermetova V.[28]
Ruse E.
6-27-5
Ostapenko J.[26]
Riske Amritraj A.
4-66-26-4
Keys M.
Cristian J.
6-27-5
Badosa P.[8]
Trevisan M.
6-06-3
Collins D.[27]
Konjuh A.
6-46-3
Halep S.[14]
Haddad Maia B.
6-26-0
Kovinic D.
Raducanu E.[17]
6-44-66-3
Cornet A.
Muguruza G.[3]
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[7]
Peterson R.
6-26-2
Kasatkina D.[25]
Linette M.
6-26-3
Cirstea S.
Kucova K.
6-26-4
Kanepi K.
Bouzkova M.
6-27-63
Vondrousova M.[31]
Samsonova L.
6-27-5
Sabalenka A.[2]
Wang X.
1-66-46-2
Inglis M.
Baptiste H.
7-642-66-2
Pegula J.[21]
Pera B.
6-46-4
Sakkari M.[5]
Zheng Q.
6-16-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.[10]
Stosur S.
6-26-2
Osaka N.[13]
Brengle M.
6-06-4
Tauson C.
Kontaveit A.[6]
6-26-4
Anisimova A.
Bencic B.[22]
6-27-5
Wang Q.
Van Uytvanck A.
2-67-656-3
Krejcikova B.[4]
Wang X.
6-26-3
Azarenka V.[24]
Teichmann J.
6-16-2
Kostyuk M.
Sorribes Tormo S.[32]
7-656-3
Mertens E.[19]
Begu I.
6-36-2
Zidansek T.[29]
Watson H.
7-646-4
R128
Kucova K.
Doi M.
6-37-5
Kudermetova V.[28]
Liu C.
6-46-4
Barty A.[1]
Tsurenko L.
6-06-1
Wang X.
Hruncakova V.
7-56-3
Riske Amritraj A.
Vekic D.
6-26-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Udvardy P.
6-36-1
Tan H.
Putintseva Y.
6-36-3
Svitolina E.[15]
Ferro F.
6-17-64
Keys M.
Kenin S.[11]
7-627-5
Van Uytvanck A.
Bucsa C.
6-36-4
Wang Q.
Gauff C.[18]
6-46-2
Kostyuk M.
Parry D.
6-17-62
Konjuh A.
Rogers S.
4-66-37-5
Collins D.[27]
Dolehide C.
6-16-3
Mertens E.[19]
Zvonareva V.
6-47-5
Begu I.
Dodin O.
2-67-56-3
Zhang S.
Golubic V.
6-36-4
Rybakina E.[12]
Diyas Z.
6-737-636-1
Halep S.[14]
Frech M.
6-46-3
Haddad Maia B.
Volynets K.
3-66-26-3
Zidansek T.[29]
Rus A.
3-66-37-68
Watson H.
Sherif M.
6-35-76-2
Cornet A.
Tomova V.
6-36-3
Muguruza G.[3]
Burel C.
6-36-4
Linette M.
Sevastova A.
6-47-5
Bronzetti L.
Gracheva V.
3-66-26-3
Giorgi C.[30]
Potapova A.
6-46-0
Bencic B.[22]
Mladenovic K.
6-46-3
Anisimova A.
Hartono A.
2-66-46-3
Osaka N.[13]
Osorio C.
6-36-3
Parrizas Diaz N.
Bara I.
6-36-1
Pera B.
Alexandrova E.
7-56-3
Pegula J.[21]
Kalinina A.
4-67-617-5
Ruse E.
Paolini J.
6-16-3
Brengle M.
Yastremska D.
6-10-65-0
Krejcikova B.[4]
Petkovic A.
6-26-0
Zanevska M.
Juvan K.
7-677-64
Kasatkina D.[25]
Voegele S.
6-36-1
Stosur S.
Anderson R.
6-756-36-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.[10]
Bondar A.
6-26-1
Bouzkova M.
Marino R.
6-16-3
Inglis M.
Fernandez L.[23]
6-46-2
Vondrousova M.[31]
Hon P.
6-26-3
Samsonova L.
Bektas E.
7-56-4
Wang X.
Li A.
7-656-3
Sabalenka A.[2]
Hunter S.
5-76-36-2
Tauson C.
Sharma A.
6-36-4
Teichmann J.
Martic P.
6-36-3
Kanepi K.
Kerber A.[16]
6-46-3
Sorribes Tormo S.[32]
Flipkens K.
6-46-1
Sakkari M.[5]
Maria T.
6-47-62
Zheng Q.
Sasnovich A.
6-31-67-65
Badosa P.[8]
Tomljanovic A.
6-46-0
Kovinic D.
Jang S.
6-32-66-4
Cristian J.
Minnen G.
7-56-4
Trevisan M.
Hibino N.
6-26-3
Martincova T.
Davis L.
7-56-2
Ostapenko J.[26]
Schmiedlova A.
6-776-46-1
Swiatek I.[7]
Dart H.
6-36-0
Kontaveit A.[6]
Siniakova K.
6-26-3
Raducanu E.[17]
Stephens S.
6-02-66-1
Peterson R.
Saville D.
6-26-3
Cirstea S.
Kvitova P.[20]
6-26-2
Baptiste H.
Garcia C.
4-67-646-3