Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Matteo ArnaldiForli 3 CH Round of 32

Forli 3 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#233ATP
1468ELO
1478Hard ELO
31 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 January 2022
hard
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Ferreira Silva F.
6-3 6-3
Arnaldi M.
Ferreira Silva F.
662
Arnaldi M.
330

Frederico Ferreira Silva defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-3 6-3 in the Forli 3 CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Frederico Ferreira Silva claimed a first win over Matteo Arnaldi in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-03WimbledonQ3grassMatteo Arnaldi7-5 6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Ferreira Silva F.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Ferreira Silva F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ferreira Silva F.Arnaldi M.
Serve
23
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.6
5.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
34
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
97
Break points won·Dominant
26
51
Deciding sets·Dominant
56
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
6
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1478
Surface ELO
7.3+254 Hard Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1468
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1830
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
2.4
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
7.9
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
97

Ferreira Silva F.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast