Aidan Mchugh vs Matteo ArnaldiForli 2 CH Qualifying Round 2

Forli 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#489ATP
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 January 2022
hard
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Mchugh A.
7-6 6-4
Arnaldi M.
Mchugh A.
7762
Arnaldi M.
6140

Aidan Mchugh defeated Matteo Arnaldi 7-6 6-4 in the Forli 2 CH qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mchugh A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Mchugh A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mchugh A.Arnaldi M.
Serve
23
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
5.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (93 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
23
78
Break points saved·Dominant
72
97
Break points won·Dominant
5
51
Deciding sets·Dominant
49
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
11
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Arnaldi M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast