Holger Rune vs Juan Pablo VarillasAdelaide 1 Qualifying Round 2

Adelaide 1 · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#81ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 January 2022
hard
#279ATP
1440ELO
1357Hard ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Rune H.
6-2 6-3
Varillas J.
Rune H.
662
Varillas J.
230

Holger Rune defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 6-2 6-3 in the Adelaide 1 qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #81.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Varillas J.
47
Serve
58
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.9
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
99
80
Break points won·Dominant
84
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
63
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 42 days (−1.0)
3.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 49 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
9.7+368 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.3Hard Elo 1357
8.8Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1440
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
2.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
55

Varillas J.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast