Gael Monfils vs Tommy PaulAdelaide 1 Quarter-final

Adelaide 1 · ATP · Quarter-final
#325ATP
1803ELO
1784Hard ELO
39 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 January 2022
hard
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Monfils G.
6-4 6-1
Paul T.
Monfils G.
662
Paul T.
410

Gael Monfils defeated Tommy Paul 6-4 6-1 in the Adelaide 1 quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Monfils G.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Monfils G.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Monfils G.Paul T.
26
Serve
71
37
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.5
6.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (137 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
93
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Slight edge
76
87
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
98
Tiebreaks·Even
98
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 63 days (−1.2)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1784
Surface ELO
6.0+98 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1803
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1949
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
8.6
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast