Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Ann LiMelbourne 2 Semi-final

Melbourne 2 · WTA · Semi-final
#122WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 January 2022
hard
Ann Li
USA7
#29WTA
1807ELO
1746Hard ELO
$718kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWW
Sasnovich A.
7-6 2-6 6-3
Li A.
Sasnovich A.
77262
Li A.
64631

Aliaksandra Sasnovich defeated Ann Li 7-6 2-6 6-3 in the Melbourne 2 semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ann Li came in ranked #29, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Aliaksandra Sasnovich claimed a first win over Ann Li in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-22MadridR128clayAnn Li6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Sasnovich A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Li A.

Li A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sasnovich A.Li A.
37
Serve
47
35
Return
49

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 176). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
76
Break points saved·Even
79
83
Break points won·Slight edge
93
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
25
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1697
Surface ELO
5.4+49 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1726
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1807
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
7.5
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
97

Sasnovich A.: 17 days rest · Li A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast