Claire Liu vs Marta KostyukMelbourne 2 Round of 32

Melbourne 2 · WTA · Round of 32
#146WTA
1669ELO
1635Hard ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 January 2022
hard
#13WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Liu C.
4-6 6-4 6-3
Kostyuk M.
Liu C.
4662
Kostyuk M.
6431

Claire Liu defeated Marta Kostyuk 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the Melbourne 2 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Claire Liu claimed a first win over Marta Kostyuk in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-15Australian OpenR128hardMarta Kostyuk6-3 4-6 6-1
2023-05-08RomeR64clayMarta Kostyuk6-0 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Liu C.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Kostyuk M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Liu C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Liu C.Kostyuk M.
Serve
53
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.9
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (188 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
61
92
Break points saved·Dominant
64
93
Break points won·Clear edge
78
98
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
67
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
2.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 89 days (−1.2)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
0.6Hard Elo 1635
Surface ELO
9.4+333 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1669
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2057
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
65

Liu C.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Kostyuk M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 82 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast