Kaja Juvan vs Aryna SabalenkaAdelaide 1 Round of 16

Adelaide 1 · WTA · Round of 16
#140WTA
1696ELO
1637Hard ELO
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 January 2022
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Juvan K.
7-6 6-1
Sabalenka A.
Juvan K.
7862
Sabalenka A.
6610

Kaja Juvan defeated Aryna Sabalenka 7-6 6-1 in the Adelaide 1 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1.

Key context

  • Match story: Kaja Juvan came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Juvan K.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Juvan K.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Juvan K.Sabalenka A.
Serve
96
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.1
4.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (167 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
98
Break points saved·Dominant
56
98
Break points won·Slight edge
95
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
33
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 54 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1637
Surface ELO
10.0+564 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1696
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2220
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
4.8
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast