Irina Camelia Begu vs Jasmine PaoliniMelbourne 2 Round of 16

Melbourne 2 · WTA · Round of 16
#173WTA
1769ELO
1686Hard ELO
35 yrs · 181 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 January 2022
hard
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Begu I.
3-6 6-2 6-3
Paolini J.
Begu I.
3662
Paolini J.
6231

Irina Camelia Begu defeated Jasmine Paolini 3-6 6-2 6-3 in the Melbourne 2 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17. Irina Camelia Begu extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR128clayIrina Camelia Begu4-6 6-1 7-6(5)
2019-07-22PalermoR16clayJasmine Paolini6-4 5-7 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Begu I.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Begu I.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Begu I.Paolini J.
Serve
31
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (143 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
68
89
Break points saved·Dominant
58
87
Break points won·Slight edge
88
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1686
Surface ELO
7.5+186 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1769
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1905
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
72

Begu I.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast