Luca Potenza vs Francesco MaestrelliForli 3 CH Qualifying Round 2

Forli 3 CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#451ATP
1342ELO
1317Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 December 2021
hard
#149ATP
1538ELO
1551Hard ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Potenza L.
6-3 6-0
Maestrelli F.
Potenza L.
662
Maestrelli F.
300

Luca Potenza defeated Francesco Maestrelli 6-3 6-0 in the Forli 3 CH qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #149.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Potenza L.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Maestrelli F.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Potenza L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.2
5.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (100 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
2
56
Break points saved·Dominant
34
83
Break points won·Slight edge
7
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
38
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 1317
Surface ELO
8.0+233 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1342
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
7.1
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
97

Potenza L.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast