Pavel Kotov vs Keegan Smith — Forli 3 CH Round of 16

Forli 3 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Pavel Kotov
RUS
Pavel Kotov
#246ATP
1597ELO
1601Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 December 2021
hard
USA
Keegan Smith
#204ATP
1421ELO
1395Hard ELO
28 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
Kotov P.
7-5 6-2
Smith K.
Kotov P.
762
Smith K.
520

Pavel Kotov defeated Keegan Smith 7-5 6-2 in the Forli 3 CH round of 16 on hard.

Key context

  • Match story: Pavel Kotov closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kotov P.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Smith K.

Smith K.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kotov P.Smith K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
6.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 165). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kotov P.Smith K.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
59
26
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
84
Break points won·Slight edge
13
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
82
48
Tiebreaks·Dominant
76
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kotov P.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Smith K.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.8+206 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Hard Elo 1395
8.7Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
1.3Overall Elo 1421
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
6.2
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
2.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kotov P.Smith K.
Freshness·
—
84

Smith K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Kotov P.
Arnaboldi A.[8]
6-46-3
Semi-finals
Arnaboldi A.[8]
Nardi L.
4-66-36-4
Kotov P.
Sachko V.[6]
6-44-0
Quarter-finals
Kotov P.
Basic M.[5]
6-26-3
Nardi L.
Setkic A.
6-06-4
Arnaboldi A.[8]
Pervolarakis M.
6-46-3
Sachko V.[6]
Cressy M.[1]
7-647-62
R16
Sachko V.[6]
Capecchi D.
6-746-16-2
Nardi L.
Vatutin A.
7-666-4
Pervolarakis M.
Baldi F.
6-46-4
Basic M.[5]
Miedler L.
6-26-3
Cressy M.[1]
Gigante M.
7-636-2
Setkic A.
Viola M.
6-16-3
Arnaboldi A.[8]
Brouwer G.
6-44-67-5
Kotov P.
Smith K.
7-56-2
R32
Arnaboldi A.[8]
Brancaccio R.
6-24-1
Kotov P.
Bergs Z.[4]
7-56-757-5
Setkic A.
Gaio F.[2]
7-56-2
Vatutin A.
Copil M.
6-746-36-3
Nardi L.
Vavassori A.[7]
6-46-2
Baldi F.
Caruso S.[3]
6-26-3
Pervolarakis M.
Potenza L.
6-36-4
Brouwer G.
Lenz J.
6-26-3
Miedler L.
Poljak D.
5-76-46-3
Smith K.
Vacherot V.
7-56-4
Sachko V.[6]
Erler A.
3-66-26-2
Capecchi D.
Lock B.
6-36-1
Gigante M.
Gengel M.
6-23-66-2
Viola M.
Rosol L.
7-614-67-5
Cressy M.[1]
Sels J.
6-36-2
Basic M.[5]
Danilov S.
6-36-4