Pavel Kotov vs Zizou BergsForli 3 CH Round of 32

Forli 3 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#246ATP
1597ELO
1601Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 December 2021
hard
#35ATP
1808ELO
1757Hard ELO
$995kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLL
Kotov P.
7-5 6-7 7-5
Bergs Z.
Kotov P.
76572
Bergs Z.
57751

Pavel Kotov defeated Zizou Bergs 7-5 6-7 7-5 in the Forli 3 CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Zizou Bergs came in ranked #35, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Pavel Kotov claimed a first win over Zizou Bergs in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenR128hardZizou Bergs6-2 4-6 6-2 3-6 7-6(7)

Serve vs return

This season
Kotov P.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Bergs Z.

Bergs Z.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Serve advantage — Bergs Z.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kotov P.Bergs Z.
Serve
25
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
6.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
59
69
Break points saved·Even
94
95
Break points won·Slight edge
13
21
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1601
Surface ELO
6.6+156 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1808
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.2
Surface form
5.8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
2.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Bergs Z.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast