Denis Shapovalov vs Arthur RinderknechStockholm Quarter-final

Stockholm · ATP · Quarter-final
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 November 2021
hard
#28ATP
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
$855kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWW
Shapovalov D.
4-6 6-3 7-5
Rinderknech A.
Shapovalov D.
4672
Rinderknech A.
6351

Denis Shapovalov defeated Arthur Rinderknech 4-6 6-3 7-5 in the Stockholm quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Arthur Rinderknech came in ranked #28, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Denis Shapovalov narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-09StuttgartR32grassArthur Rinderknech6-4 2-6 6-0
2022-06-27WimbledonR128grassDenis Shapovalov6-1 6-7(6) 6-7(4) 6-4 6-1
2022-02-14DohaQFhardArthur Rinderknech6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Rinderknech A.

Rinderknech A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Rinderknech A.
25
Serve
50
70
Return
1

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
33%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.2
10.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
85
58
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
71
6
Deciding sets·Even
92
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
84
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 35 days (−1.0)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+28 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1748
4.9Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1780
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
3.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.1
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
83

Shapovalov D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rinderknech A.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
3°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%