Brandon Nakashima vs Holger RuneNextGen Finals Round Robin

NextGen Finals · ATP · Round Robin
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 November 2021
hard
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Nakashima B.
3-4 4-1 4-1 4-3
Rune H.
Nakashima B.
3344473
Rune H.
4711311

Brandon Nakashima defeated Holger Rune 3-4 4-1 4-1 4-3 in the NextGen Finals round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Brandon Nakashima extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24AcapulcoR16hardBrandon Nakashima3-0 RET
2024-08-26US OpenR128hardBrandon Nakashima6-2 6-1 6-4
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersR64hardBrandon Nakashima6-0 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Rune H.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Rune H.
61
Serve
47
23
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
66%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.5
5.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
13
84
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+63 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1725
5.3Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1757
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.3
Surface form
7.2
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.1
Minutes 14d
2.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast