Sebastian Korda vs Brandon NakashimaNextGen Finals Semi-final

NextGen Finals · ATP · Semi-final
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 8 November 2021
hard
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Korda S.
4-3 2-4 1-4 4-2 4-2
Nakashima B.
Korda S.
4721443
Nakashima B.
3344222

Sebastian Korda defeated Brandon Nakashima 4-3 2-4 1-4 4-2 4-2 in the NextGen Finals semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31.

Key context

  • Match story: Sebastian Korda closed it out in five sets, 4–3 2–4 1–4 4–2 4–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Nakashima B.
61
Serve
61
58
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Even
8.1
8.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
56
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
73
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3Hard Elo 1765
Surface ELO
3.7+23 Hard Elo edge
6.4Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1839
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
9.3
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
6.1
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast