Sebastian Baez vs Lorenzo MusettiNextGen Finals Round Robin

NextGen Finals · ATP · Round Robin
#57ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 November 2021
hard
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Baez S.
4-1 4-1 3-4 4-3
Musetti L.
Baez S.
4435473
Musetti L.
1147351

Sebastian Baez defeated Lorenzo Musetti 4-1 4-1 3-4 4-3 in the NextGen Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Sebastian Baez claimed a first win over Lorenzo Musetti in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Sebastian Baez came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 4–1 4–1 3–4 4–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-04-18BarcelonaR64clayLorenzo Musetti7-5 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Baez S.Musetti L.
5
Serve
54
63
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.0
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
89
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Even
86
82
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1709
Surface ELO
7.5+95 Hard Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
Surface form
4.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
3.7
7.0
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
2.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Baez S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast