Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian KordaNextGen Finals Final

NextGen Finals · ATP · Final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 November 2021
hard
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Alcaraz C.
4-3 4-2 4-2
Korda S.
Alcaraz C.
47443
Korda S.
35220

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Sebastian Korda 4-3 4-2 4-2 in the NextGen Finals final on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz edged a tight contest from start to finish — 4–3 4–2 4–2.

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersR32hardSebastian Korda6-3 5-7 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayCarlos Alcaraz6-4 7-6(5) 6-3
2023-06-19Queen's ClubSFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-4
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR32clayCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4 6-2
2022-04-11Monte Carlo MastersR32claySebastian Korda7-6(2) 6-7(5) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Korda S.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Korda S.
74
Serve
61
95
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.2
8.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
87
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
99
73
Deciding sets·Even
100
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.0+323 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Hard Elo 1765
9.4Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.6Overall Elo 1809
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
5.1
Fatigue & Travel
0.8
Minutes 14d
6.5
4.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast