Hugo Gaston vs Lorenzo MusettiParis Masters Qualifying Round 2

Paris Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#107ATP
1622ELO
1628Hard ELO
$355kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 November 2021
hard
#14ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Gaston H.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Musetti L.
Gaston H.
3662
Musetti L.
6341

Hugo Gaston defeated Lorenzo Musetti 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Paris Masters qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #14, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Hugo Gaston claimed a first win over Lorenzo Musetti in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-04-03MarrakechR16clayLorenzo Musetti6-2 6-3
2021-11-08NextGen FinalsRRhardLorenzo Musetti4-3(4) 4-3(6) 2-4 3-4(7) 4-2

Serve vs return

This season
Gaston H.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Gaston H.

Serve advantage — Musetti L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gaston H.Musetti L.
Serve
54
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
4.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
74
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
98
Break points won·Dominant
57
82
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
99
Tiebreaks·Even
93
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Hard Elo 1628
Surface ELO
8.2+175 Hard Elo edge
1.1Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
8.9Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
2.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
6.8
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.2
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
51

Gaston H.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 128 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
12°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 71%