James Duckworth vs Lorenzo MusettiParis Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#74ATP
1628ELO
1592Hard ELO
$485kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
34 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 November 2021
hard
#14ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Duckworth J.
6-3 3-6 6-3
Musetti L.
Duckworth J.
6362
Musetti L.
3631

James Duckworth defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #14, leading the head-to-head 1–0. James Duckworth claimed a first win over Lorenzo Musetti in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: James Duckworth closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27Canada MastersR64hardLorenzo Musetti7-5 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Duckworth J.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Duckworth J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Duckworth J.Musetti L.
25
Serve
54
23
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
55
89
Break points saved·Even
97
98
Break points won·Dominant
4
82
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.3Hard Elo 1592
Surface ELO
8.7+212 Hard Elo edge
1.1Overall Elo 1628
ELO gap
8.9Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
2.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
6.8
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Duckworth J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
12°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 71%