Nerman Fatic vs Mattia BellucciBergamo CH Qualifying Round 1

Bergamo CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#396ATP
1496ELO
1417Hard ELO
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 November 2021
hard
#80ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Fatic N.
7-6 6-4
Bellucci M.
Fatic N.
7762
Bellucci M.
6540

Nerman Fatic defeated Mattia Bellucci 7-6 6-4 in the Bergamo CH qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mattia Bellucci came in ranked #80, but Nerman Fatic had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Fatic N.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Fatic N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fatic N.Bellucci M.
Serve
0
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
6.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
24
60
Break points saved·Dominant
63
96
Break points won·Dominant
36
10
Deciding sets·Dominant
24
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
35
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 1417
Surface ELO
8.0+261 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1496
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1720
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.6
Surface form
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Bellucci M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast