Nicolas Kicker vs Sebastian BaezGuayaquil CH Round of 32

Guayaquil CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#322ATP
1385ELO
1373Clay ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 November 2021
clay
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Kicker N.
7-6 4-6 7-5
Baez S.
Kicker N.
77472
Baez S.
63651

Nicolas Kicker defeated Sebastian Baez 7-6 4-6 7-5 in the Guayaquil CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Nicolas Kicker claimed a first win over Sebastian Baez in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-03-08SantiagoQ3claySebastian Baez3-6 6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Kicker N.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kicker N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kicker N.Baez S.
Serve
1
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
30
87
Break points saved·Dominant
56
96
Break points won·Dominant
45
86
Deciding sets·Dominant
30
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
51
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
9.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.4Clay Elo 1373
Surface ELO
9.6+344 Clay Elo edge
0.1Overall Elo 1385
ELO gap
9.9Overall Elo 1759
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.0
Surface form
10.0
Win streak
10.012-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
6.2
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
96

Kicker N.: 17 days rest · Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast