Hugo Gaston vs Carlos Alcaraz — Paris Masters Round of 16

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Hugo Gaston
FRA
Hugo Gaston
#107ATP
1622ELO
1628Hard ELO
$355kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 November 2021
hard
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP
Carlos Alcaraz
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Gaston H.
6-4 7-5
Alcaraz C.
Gaston H.
672
Alcaraz C.
450

Hugo Gaston defeated Carlos Alcaraz 6-4 7-5 in the Paris Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gaston H.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Gaston H.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gaston H.Alcaraz C.
—
Serve
74
—
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Gaston H.Alcaraz C.
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
57%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
5.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Gaston H.Alcaraz C.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
74
98
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
100
Break points won·Dominant
57
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gaston H.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Alcaraz C.
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1628
Surface ELO
10.0+460 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2162
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
5.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.2
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gaston H.Alcaraz C.
Freshness·
44
—

Gaston H.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 128 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
12°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 71%
Final
Djokovic N.[1]
Medvedev D.[2]
4-66-36-3
Semi-finals
Medvedev D.[2]
Zverev A.[4]
6-26-2
Djokovic N.[1]
Hurkacz H.[7]
3-66-07-65
Quarter-finals
Medvedev D.[2]
Gaston H.
7-676-4
Hurkacz H.[7]
Duckworth J.
6-26-747-5
Djokovic N.[1]
Fritz T.
6-46-3
Zverev A.[4]
Ruud C.[6]
7-56-4
R16
Djokovic N.[1]
Monfils G.[15]
W/O
Medvedev D.[2]
Korda S.
4-66-16-3
Gaston H.
Alcaraz C.
6-47-5
Zverev A.[4]
Dimitrov G.[16]
7-646-736-3
Hurkacz H.[7]
Koepfer D.
4-67-56-2
Fritz T.
Norrie C.[10]
6-37-63
Ruud C.[6]
Giron M.
6-26-1
Duckworth J.
Popyrin A.
7-666-4
R32
Giron M.
Schwartzman D.[11]
7-627-64
Koepfer D.
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-37-5
Popyrin A.
Tsitsipas S.[3]
4-2
Medvedev D.[2]
Ivashka I.
7-56-4
Korda S.
Cilic M.
6-26-4
Gaston H.
Carreno Busta P.[12]
6-736-47-5
Alcaraz C.
Sinner J.[8]
7-617-5
Zverev A.[4]
Lajovic D.
6-37-65
Dimitrov G.[16]
Khachanov K.
4-66-26-0
Ruud C.[6]
Bublik A.
6-46-0
Hurkacz H.[7]
Paul T.
7-57-64
Duckworth J.
Musetti L.
6-33-66-3
Fritz T.
Rublev A.[5]
7-57-62
Monfils G.[15]
Mannarino A.
2-67-646-2
Djokovic N.[1]
Fucsovics M.
6-24-66-3
Norrie C.[10]
Opelka R.
6-36-4
R64
Cilic M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-36-4
Ivashka I.
Ramos A.
6-37-62
Korda S.
Karatsev A.[13]
6-26-797-65
Carreno Busta P.[12]
Paire B.
6-36-4
Gaston H.
Rinderknech A.
4-66-46-3
Alcaraz C.
Herbert P.
6-747-627-5
Lajovic D.
Mcdonald M.
6-36-4
Khachanov K.
Ymer M.
6-47-5
Schwartzman D.[11]
Millman J.
7-625-76-2
Giron M.
Tiafoe F.
6-756-46-3
Bublik A.
Evans D.
2-67-57-5
Paul T.
Struff J.
6-36-4
Koepfer D.
Murray A.
6-45-77-69
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Mager G.
4-66-46-1
Duckworth J.
Bautista Agut R.[14]
6-45-77-64
Musetti L.
Djere L.
4-67-656-4
Popyrin A.
De Minaur A.
6-06-3
Fritz T.
Sonego L.
3-66-26-3
Monfils G.[15]
Kecmanovic M.
4-67-56-3
Mannarino A.
Basilashvili N.
6-26-4
Fucsovics M.
Fognini F.
6-16-767-65
Dimitrov G.[16]
Gasquet R.
6-14-66-2
Opelka R.
Krajinovic F.
6-37-64
Norrie C.[10]
Delbonis F.
6-26-1