Brandon Nakashima vs Joao SousaBrest CH Final

Brest CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 October 2021
hard
37 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWWL
Nakashima B.
6-3 6-3
Sousa J.
Nakashima B.
662
Sousa J.
330

Brandon Nakashima defeated Joao Sousa 6-3 6-3 in the Brest CH final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Joao Sousa came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Brandon Nakashima had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Brandon Nakashima claimed a first win over Joao Sousa in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-04-19BelgradeQ1hardJoao Sousa6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Sousa J.

Sousa J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Sousa J.
61
Serve
23
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 177). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
35
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
91
Break points won·Even
13
14
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
48
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.4
Surface form
6.3
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.9
Minutes 14d
5.2
4.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast