Brandon Nakashima vs Alexandre MullerBrest CH Semi-final

Brest CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 October 2021
hard
#132ATP
1665ELO
1630Hard ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Nakashima B.
6-2 7-5
Muller A.
Nakashima B.
672
Muller A.
250

Brandon Nakashima defeated Alexandre Muller 6-2 7-5 in the Brest CH semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #32. Brandon Nakashima claimed a first win over Alexandre Muller in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersR64hardAlexandre Muller6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Muller A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Muller A.
61
Serve
11
23
Return
13

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
75
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
94
Break points won·Dominant
13
44
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+157 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1630
6.3Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1665
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
5.3
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.9
Minutes 14d
8.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
100

Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Muller A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast