Jason Kubler vs Yosuke WatanukiLas Vegas CH Round of 32

Las Vegas CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#468ATP
1685ELO
1635Hard ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 25 October 2021
hard
#305ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
Kubler J.
6-7 6-0 7-6
Watanuki Y.
Kubler J.
656782
Watanuki Y.
770661

Jason Kubler defeated Yosuke Watanuki 6-7 6-0 7-6 in the Las Vegas CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Yosuke Watanuki came in ranked #305, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Jason Kubler had been the form player, winning 5 of their last 5 on hard. Jason Kubler claimed a first win over Yosuke Watanuki in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-07-30WashingtonQ2hardYosuke Watanuki6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Kubler J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Watanuki Y.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Kubler J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.7
8.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (172 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
59
52
Break points saved·Even
90
89
Break points won·Dominant
46
20
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
37
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 49 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
5.9+105 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1531
6.1Overall Elo 1685
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1541
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
4.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Watanuki Y.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast