Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Pablo Carreno BustaVienna Round of 32

Vienna · ATP · Round of 32
#111ATP
1672ELO
1608Hard ELO
$326kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 25 October 2021
hard
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
34 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Basilashvili N.
7-5 4-6 6-3
Carreno Busta P.
Basilashvili N.
7462
Carreno Busta P.
5631

Nikoloz Basilashvili defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-5 4-6 6-3 in the Vienna round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #71, defending last year's round of 16. Nikoloz Basilashvili extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-07-23HamburgQFclayNikoloz Basilashvili7-6(3) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Basilashvili N.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Basilashvili N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Basilashvili N.Carreno Busta P.
Serve
21
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
73
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
97
Break points won·Clear edge
42
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1608
Surface ELO
6.7+136 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1672
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1801
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
6.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
89

Basilashvili N.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
11°CClear
Wind 31 km/hHumidity 52%