Karen Khachanov vs John MillmanMoscow Quarter-final

Moscow · ATP · Quarter-final
#26ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 October 2021
hard
37 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLWW
Khachanov K.
7-5 7-6
Millman J.
Khachanov K.
7772
Millman J.
5640

Karen Khachanov defeated John Millman 7-5 7-6 in the Moscow quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — John Millman came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Karen Khachanov claimed a first win over John Millman in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-01-13AucklandR16hardJohn Millman4-6 6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Khachanov K.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Millman J.

Millman J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Serve advantage — Khachanov K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Khachanov K.Millman J.
61
Serve
39
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.5
3.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 108). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
86
70
Break points saved·Even
99
95
Break points won·Clear edge
81
64
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
70
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
92
74

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.1
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
7.8
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
83

Khachanov K.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast