Juan Pablo Varillas vs Dalibor SvrcinaSantiago 2 CH Round of 16

Santiago 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 11 October 2021
clay
#114ATP
1640ELO
1578Clay ELO
$300kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLL
Varillas J.
6-4 1-6 6-4
Svrcina D.
Varillas J.
6162
Svrcina D.
4641

Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Dalibor Svrcina 6-4 1-6 6-4 in the Santiago 2 CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Dalibor Svrcina came in ranked #114, but Juan Pablo Varillas had arrived on a 5-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Varillas J.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Svrcina D.

Svrcina D.serving59% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
45%
Break points saved·Even
59%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
1.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
34
Break points saved·Dominant
80
44
Break points won·Dominant
43
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
63
27
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
30

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Clay Elo 1431
Surface ELO
6.7+148 Clay Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1440
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1640
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.4
Surface form
6.0
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.5
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
62
89

Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d) · Svrcina D.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast