Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Madison Keys — Indian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
RUS9
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
#128WTA
1775ELO
1742Hard ELO
35 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 6 October 2021
hard
Madison Keys
USA
Madison Keys
#22WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-3 6-1
Keys M.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
662
Keys M.
310

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova defeated Madison Keys 6-3 6-1 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

2–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-04-29MadridR64clayAnastasia Pavlyuchenkova7-5 6-2
2018-05-14RomeR64clayMadison Keys6-4 6-1
2018-04-23StuttgartR32clayAnastasia Pavlyuchenkova7-6(7) 5-7 6-4
2016-07-25MontrealQFhardMadison Keys7-6(3) 1-6 6-0
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Pavlyuchenkova A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Pavlyuchenkova A.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pavlyuchenkova A.Keys M.
—
Serve
36
—
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Pavlyuchenkova A.Keys M.
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (158 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Pavlyuchenkova A.Keys M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
94
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
96
Break points won·Even
91
90
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pavlyuchenkova A.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Keys M.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1742
Surface ELO
7.0+178 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1775
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1987
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
1.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
9.2
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.0
Country comfort
7.8
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Pavlyuchenkova A.Keys M.
Freshness·
—
77

Keys M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
32°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 26%

Draw

Final
Badosa P.[21]
Azarenka V.[27]
7-652-67-62
Semi-finals
Badosa P.[21]
Jabeur O.[12]
6-36-3
Azarenka V.[27]
Ostapenko J.[24]
3-66-37-5
Quarter-finals
Jabeur O.[12]
Kontaveit A.[18]
7-56-3
Badosa P.[21]
Kerber A.[10]
6-47-5
Azarenka V.[27]
Pegula J.[19]
6-46-2
Ostapenko J.[24]
Rogers S.
6-44-66-3
R16
Kontaveit A.[18]
Haddad Maia B.
6-06-2
Badosa P.[21]
Krejcikova B.[3]
6-17-5
Rogers S.
Fernandez L.[23]
2-66-17-64
Ostapenko J.[24]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-46-3
Jabeur O.[12]
Kalinskaya A.
6-26-2
Kerber A.[10]
Tomljanovic A.
6-46-1
Azarenka V.[27]
Sasnovich A.
6-36-4
Pegula J.[19]
Svitolina E.[4]
6-16-1
R32
Haddad Maia B.
Pliskova K.[1]
6-37-5
Kontaveit A.[18]
Andreescu B.[16]
7-656-3
Kalinskaya A.
Golubic V.
1-66-16-3
Krejcikova B.[3]
Anisimova A.
6-26-3
Badosa P.[21]
Gauff C.[15]
6-26-2
Tomljanovic A.
Zidansek T.[26]
6-46-3
Azarenka V.[27]
Kvitova P.[7]
7-56-4
Sasnovich A.
Halep S.[11]
7-56-4
Pegula J.[19]
Paolini J.
6-46-1
Kerber A.[10]
Kasatkina D.[20]
6-21-66-4
Svitolina E.[4]
Cirstea S.[32]
4-66-47-63
Fernandez L.[23]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[9]
5-76-36-4
Ostapenko J.[24]
Putintseva Y.
6-32-66-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Kudermetova V.[25]
6-16-0
Rogers S.
Begu I.
6-06-2
Jabeur O.[12]
Collins D.[22]
6-16-3
R64
Kontaveit A.[18]
Trevisan M.
6-35-2
Kalinskaya A.
Sorribes Tormo S.[28]
6-34-66-2
Golubic V.
Sakkari M.[6]
5-76-36-2
Collins D.[22]
Davis L.
6-1
Kasatkina D.[20]
Sharma A.
3-4
Azarenka V.[27]
Linette M.
7-53-0
Svitolina E.[4]
Martincova T.
6-27-5
Kerber A.[10]
Siniakova K.
6-16-747-5
Pliskova K.[1]
Frech M.
7-56-2
Haddad Maia B.
Sherif M.
6-36-0
Jabeur O.[12]
Sevastova A.
6-26-756-3
Anisimova A.
Giorgi C.[30]
6-46-1
Badosa P.[21]
Yastremska D.
6-42-66-2
Zidansek T.[26]
Konjuh A.
6-45-76-3
Tomljanovic A.
Muguruza G.[5]
6-31-66-3
Kvitova P.[7]
Rus A.
6-26-2
Gauff C.[15]
Garcia C.
6-36-726-1
Rogers S.
Kucova K.
6-26-2
Sasnovich A.
Raducanu E.[17]
6-26-4
Halep S.[11]
Kostyuk M.
7-626-1
Pegula J.[19]
Stephens S.
6-26-3
Begu I.
Teichmann J.[31]
7-56-1
Fernandez L.[23]
Cornet A.
6-26-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.[9]
Keys M.
6-36-1
Putintseva Y.
Rybakina E.[13]
6-27-65
Ostapenko J.[24]
Hsieh S.
6-36-0
Kudermetova V.[25]
Samsonova L.
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Martic P.
6-16-3
Andreescu B.[16]
Riske Amritraj A.
7-625-76-2
Krejcikova B.[3]
Diyas Z.
6-43-66-1
Paolini J.
Mertens E.[14]
3-66-46-4
Cirstea S.[32]
Doi M.
6-26-3
R128
Siniakova K.
Clijsters K.
6-12-66-2
Cornet A.
Ruse E.
6-37-65
Samsonova L.
Baindl K.
6-47-66
Martic P.
Volynets K.
6-46-4
Garcia C.
Flipkens K.
5-76-46-0
Sherif M.
Kovinic D.
6-16-3
Davis L.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-27-5
Frech M.
Zheng S.
6-16-4
Trevisan M.
Bouzkova M.
6-46-786-4
Riske Amritraj A.
Liang E.
6-26-2
Sevastova A.
Hercog P.
3-66-26-0
Kalinskaya A.
Liu C.
6-32-66-1
Golubic V.
Vondrousova M.
6-14-66-3
Diyas Z.
Hibino N.
6-36-3
Anisimova A.
Scott K.
6-16-1
Sharma A.
Vekic D.
6-42-66-3
Konjuh A.
Schmiedlova A.
6-26-2
Tomljanovic A.
Arconada U.
6-06-2
Martincova T.
Krueger A.
6-27-61
Rogers S.
Kalinina A.
7-626-2
Rus A.
Parks A.
6-06-1
Begu I.
Ferro F.
6-27-62
Linette M.
Peterson R.
3-66-36-2
Keys M.
Kanepi K.
6-07-5
Putintseva Y.
Petkovic A.
7-626-1
Hsieh S.
Brengle M.
6-17-64
Doi M.
Li A.
6-25-77-5
Yastremska D.
Jacquemot E.
6-26-4
Sasnovich A.
Osorio C.
6-06-4
Kostyuk M.
Zhang S.
6-31-66-2
Paolini J.
Hontama M.
6-03-66-2
Stephens S.
Watson H.
6-757-56-1