Angelique Kerber vs Daria KasatkinaIndian Wells Round of 32

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 32
38 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 6 October 2021
hard
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Kerber A.
6-2 1-6 6-4
Kasatkina D.
Kerber A.
6162
Kasatkina D.
2641

Angelique Kerber defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-2 1-6 6-4 in the Indian Wells round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Angelique Kerber came in leading the head-to-head 5–4. Angelique Kerber extended the head-to-head to 6–4.

Key context

Head to head

54
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-03-07Indian WellsR32hardAngelique Kerber6-2 6-1
2019-08-05TorontoR64hardDaria Kasatkina0-6 6-2 6-4
2018-07-02WimbledonQFgrassAngelique Kerber6-3 7-5
2018-06-25EastbourneQFgrassAngelique Kerber6-1 6-7(3) 7-6(3)
2018-03-05Indian WellsQFhardDaria Kasatkina6-0 6-2
2017-09-18TokyoR16hardAngelique Kerber7-6(5) 6-3
2017-02-13DohaR16hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 0-6 6-4
2017-01-09SydneyR16hardDaria Kasatkina7-6(5) 6-2
2016-07-25MontrealQFhardAngelique Kerber6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kerber A.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kerber A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kerber A.Kasatkina D.
Serve
0
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
80
Break points won·Slight edge
95
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
86
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
5.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
6.2
Country comfort
5.6
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
32°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 26%

Draw