Jasmine Paolini vs Mai Hontama — Indian Wells Round of 128

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 128
Jasmine Paolini
ITA
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 6 October 2021
hard
Mai Hontama
JPN
Mai Hontama
#204WTA
1480ELO
1442Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
Paolini J.
6-0 3-6 6-2
Hontama M.
Paolini J.
6362
Hontama M.
0621

Jasmine Paolini defeated Mai Hontama 6-0 3-6 6-2 in the Indian Wells round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Hontama M.

Hontama M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Hontama M.
31
Serve
—
55
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Paolini J.Hontama M.
1st serve in·Even
68%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
52%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
0.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 193). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paolini J.Hontama M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
29
Break points saved·Dominant
87
27
Break points won·Even
99
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
28
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paolini J.
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Hontama M.
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
10.0+431 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1442
10.0Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1480
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
6.7
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paolini J.Hontama M.
Freshness·Dominant
72
100

Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Hontama M.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
32°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 26%

Draw

Final
Badosa P.[21]
Azarenka V.[27]
7-652-67-62
Semi-finals
Badosa P.[21]
Jabeur O.[12]
6-36-3
Azarenka V.[27]
Ostapenko J.[24]
3-66-37-5
Quarter-finals
Jabeur O.[12]
Kontaveit A.[18]
7-56-3
Badosa P.[21]
Kerber A.[10]
6-47-5
Azarenka V.[27]
Pegula J.[19]
6-46-2
Ostapenko J.[24]
Rogers S.
6-44-66-3
R16
Kontaveit A.[18]
Haddad Maia B.
6-06-2
Badosa P.[21]
Krejcikova B.[3]
6-17-5
Rogers S.
Fernandez L.[23]
2-66-17-64
Ostapenko J.[24]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-46-3
Jabeur O.[12]
Kalinskaya A.
6-26-2
Kerber A.[10]
Tomljanovic A.
6-46-1
Azarenka V.[27]
Sasnovich A.
6-36-4
Pegula J.[19]
Svitolina E.[4]
6-16-1
R32
Haddad Maia B.
Pliskova K.[1]
6-37-5
Kontaveit A.[18]
Andreescu B.[16]
7-656-3
Kalinskaya A.
Golubic V.
1-66-16-3
Krejcikova B.[3]
Anisimova A.
6-26-3
Badosa P.[21]
Gauff C.[15]
6-26-2
Tomljanovic A.
Zidansek T.[26]
6-46-3
Azarenka V.[27]
Kvitova P.[7]
7-56-4
Sasnovich A.
Halep S.[11]
7-56-4
Pegula J.[19]
Paolini J.
6-46-1
Kerber A.[10]
Kasatkina D.[20]
6-21-66-4
Svitolina E.[4]
Cirstea S.[32]
4-66-47-63
Fernandez L.[23]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[9]
5-76-36-4
Ostapenko J.[24]
Putintseva Y.
6-32-66-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Kudermetova V.[25]
6-16-0
Rogers S.
Begu I.
6-06-2
Jabeur O.[12]
Collins D.[22]
6-16-3
R64
Kontaveit A.[18]
Trevisan M.
6-35-2
Kalinskaya A.
Sorribes Tormo S.[28]
6-34-66-2
Golubic V.
Sakkari M.[6]
5-76-36-2
Collins D.[22]
Davis L.
6-1
Kasatkina D.[20]
Sharma A.
3-4
Azarenka V.[27]
Linette M.
7-53-0
Svitolina E.[4]
Martincova T.
6-27-5
Kerber A.[10]
Siniakova K.
6-16-747-5
Pliskova K.[1]
Frech M.
7-56-2
Haddad Maia B.
Sherif M.
6-36-0
Jabeur O.[12]
Sevastova A.
6-26-756-3
Anisimova A.
Giorgi C.[30]
6-46-1
Badosa P.[21]
Yastremska D.
6-42-66-2
Zidansek T.[26]
Konjuh A.
6-45-76-3
Tomljanovic A.
Muguruza G.[5]
6-31-66-3
Kvitova P.[7]
Rus A.
6-26-2
Gauff C.[15]
Garcia C.
6-36-726-1
Rogers S.
Kucova K.
6-26-2
Sasnovich A.
Raducanu E.[17]
6-26-4
Halep S.[11]
Kostyuk M.
7-626-1
Pegula J.[19]
Stephens S.
6-26-3
Begu I.
Teichmann J.[31]
7-56-1
Fernandez L.[23]
Cornet A.
6-26-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.[9]
Keys M.
6-36-1
Putintseva Y.
Rybakina E.[13]
6-27-65
Ostapenko J.[24]
Hsieh S.
6-36-0
Kudermetova V.[25]
Samsonova L.
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Martic P.
6-16-3
Andreescu B.[16]
Riske Amritraj A.
7-625-76-2
Krejcikova B.[3]
Diyas Z.
6-43-66-1
Paolini J.
Mertens E.[14]
3-66-46-4
Cirstea S.[32]
Doi M.
6-26-3
R128
Siniakova K.
Clijsters K.
6-12-66-2
Cornet A.
Ruse E.
6-37-65
Samsonova L.
Baindl K.
6-47-66
Martic P.
Volynets K.
6-46-4
Garcia C.
Flipkens K.
5-76-46-0
Sherif M.
Kovinic D.
6-16-3
Davis L.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-27-5
Frech M.
Zheng S.
6-16-4
Trevisan M.
Bouzkova M.
6-46-786-4
Riske Amritraj A.
Liang E.
6-26-2
Sevastova A.
Hercog P.
3-66-26-0
Kalinskaya A.
Liu C.
6-32-66-1
Golubic V.
Vondrousova M.
6-14-66-3
Diyas Z.
Hibino N.
6-36-3
Anisimova A.
Scott K.
6-16-1
Sharma A.
Vekic D.
6-42-66-3
Konjuh A.
Schmiedlova A.
6-26-2
Tomljanovic A.
Arconada U.
6-06-2
Martincova T.
Krueger A.
6-27-61
Rogers S.
Kalinina A.
7-626-2
Rus A.
Parks A.
6-06-1
Begu I.
Ferro F.
6-27-62
Linette M.
Peterson R.
3-66-36-2
Keys M.
Kanepi K.
6-07-5
Putintseva Y.
Petkovic A.
7-626-1
Hsieh S.
Brengle M.
6-17-64
Doi M.
Li A.
6-25-77-5
Yastremska D.
Jacquemot E.
6-26-4
Sasnovich A.
Osorio C.
6-06-4
Kostyuk M.
Zhang S.
6-31-66-2
Paolini J.
Hontama M.
6-03-66-2
Stephens S.
Watson H.
6-757-56-1