Paula Badosa vs Dayana YastremskaIndian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
#141WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 6 October 2021
hard
#67WTA
1792ELO
1733Hard ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Badosa P.
6-4 2-6 6-2
Yastremska D.
Badosa P.
6262
Yastremska D.
4621

Paula Badosa defeated Dayana Yastremska 6-4 2-6 6-2 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Dayana Yastremska came in ranked #67.

Key context

  • Match story: Paula Badosa closed it out in three sets, 6–4 2–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Badosa P.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Yastremska D.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Serve advantage — Badosa P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Badosa P.Yastremska D.
21
Serve
11
19
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
59%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.9
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
77
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
89
Break points won·Even
94
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
63
Tiebreaks·Even
94
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+15 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1733
4.8Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1792
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
2.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.4
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
58
92

Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d) · Yastremska D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
32°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 26%

Draw