Victoria Azarenka vs Jessica PegulaIndian Wells Quarter-final

Indian Wells · WTA · Quarter-final
#433WTA
1875ELO
1839Hard ELO
36 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 6 October 2021
hard
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Azarenka V.
6-4 6-2
Pegula J.
Azarenka V.
662
Pegula J.
420

Victoria Azarenka defeated Jessica Pegula 6-4 6-2 in the Indian Wells quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Victoria Azarenka narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

24
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR32hardJessica Pegula6-1 7-5
2024-04-01CharlestonQFclayJessica Pegula6-4 3-6 7-6(7)
2023-01-16Australian OpenQFhardVictoria Azarenka6-4 6-1
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2SFhardJessica Pegula7-6(3) 6-1
2021-06-14BerlinQFgrassVictoria Azarenka6-2 5-7 6-4
2021-02-08Australian OpenR128hardJessica Pegula7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Azarenka V.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Azarenka V.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Azarenka V.Pegula J.
Serve
68
Return
73

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (182 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
96
Break points saved·Even
94
96
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
96
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
77
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.2Hard Elo 1839
Surface ELO
7.8+219 Hard Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1875
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 2097
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.8
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
7.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.5
Country comfort
7.8
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
32°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 26%

Draw