Victoria Azarenka vs Jelena OstapenkoIndian Wells Semi-final

Indian Wells · WTA · Semi-final
#433WTA
1875ELO
1839Hard ELO
36 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 6 October 2021
hard
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Azarenka V.
3-6 6-3 7-5
Ostapenko J.
Azarenka V.
3672
Ostapenko J.
6351

Victoria Azarenka defeated Jelena Ostapenko 3-6 6-3 7-5 in the Indian Wells semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Victoria Azarenka came in leading the head-to-head 4–0. Victoria Azarenka extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-12DohaR16hardVictoria Azarenka6-0 6-3
2024-01-15Australian OpenR32hardVictoria Azarenka6-1 7-5
2024-01-01BrisbaneQFhardVictoria Azarenka6-3 3-6 7-5
2019-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayVictoria Azarenka6-4 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Azarenka V.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Azarenka V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Azarenka V.Ostapenko J.
Serve
10
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.5
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (182 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
79
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Even
96
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
77
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+45 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1794
5.6Overall Elo 1875
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1855
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
6.5
Country comfort
5.5
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
32°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 26%

Draw

Semi-finals
Badosa P.[21]
Jabeur O.[12]
6-36-3
Azarenka V.[27]
Ostapenko J.[24]
3-66-37-5