Paula Badosa vs Victoria AzarenkaIndian Wells Final

Indian Wells · WTA · Final
#141WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 6 October 2021
hard
#433WTA
1875ELO
1839Hard ELO
36 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLW
Badosa P.
7-6 2-6 7-6
Azarenka V.
Badosa P.
772772
Azarenka V.
656621

Paula Badosa defeated Victoria Azarenka 7-6 2-6 7-6 in the Indian Wells final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Victoria Azarenka came in leading the head-to-head 2–0. Paula Badosa claimed a first win over Victoria Azarenka in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Paula Badosa closed it out in three sets, 7–6 2–6 7–6.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2R32hardVictoria Azarenka6-2 RET
2022-01-03Adelaide 1R32hardVictoria Azarenka6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Badosa P.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Azarenka V.

Azarenka V.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Badosa P.Azarenka V.
21
Serve
19
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
59%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.9
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 182). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
93
91
Break points saved·Even
95
94
Break points won·Slight edge
94
99
Deciding sets·Even
95
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
94
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.8Hard Elo 1748
Surface ELO
6.2+91 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1875
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
6.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.1
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
6.5
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
58

Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
32°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 26%

Draw

Final
Badosa P.[21]
Azarenka V.[27]
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