Aslan Karatsev vs Denis Shapovalov — Indian Wells Masters Round of 32

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 32
RUS19
Aslan Karatsev
#1285ATP
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 October 2021
hard
Denis Shapovalov
CAN9
Denis Shapovalov
#39ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Karatsev A.
7-5 6-2
Shapovalov D.
Karatsev A.
762
Shapovalov D.
520

Aslan Karatsev defeated Denis Shapovalov 7-5 6-2 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #39.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Karatsev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Shapovalov D.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Karatsev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Karatsev A.Shapovalov D.
—
Serve
25
—
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Karatsev A.Shapovalov D.
1st serve in·Even
60%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.8
8.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
6.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Karatsev A.Shapovalov D.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
43
85
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
99
Break points won·Dominant
39
71
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
41
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Karatsev A.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Shapovalov D.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
3.6
Fatigue & Travel
5.4
Minutes 14d
8.3
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.9
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Karatsev A.Shapovalov D.
Freshness·
—
98

Shapovalov D.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
35°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 12%
Final
Norrie C.[21]
Basilashvili N.[29]
3-66-46-1
Semi-finals
Basilashvili N.[29]
Fritz T.[31]
7-656-3
Norrie C.[21]
Dimitrov G.[23]
6-26-4
Quarter-finals
Basilashvili N.[29]
Tsitsipas S.[2]
6-42-66-4
Fritz T.[31]
Zverev A.[3]
4-66-37-63
Norrie C.[21]
Schwartzman D.[11]
6-06-2
Dimitrov G.[23]
Hurkacz H.[8]
3-66-47-62
R16
Tsitsipas S.[2]
De Minaur A.[22]
6-737-636-2
Basilashvili N.[29]
Khachanov K.[24]
6-47-66
Zverev A.[3]
Monfils G.[14]
6-16-3
Fritz T.[31]
Sinner J.[10]
6-46-3
Schwartzman D.[11]
Ruud C.[6]
6-36-3
Norrie C.[21]
Paul T.
6-44-66-2
Hurkacz H.[8]
Karatsev A.[19]
6-16-3
Dimitrov G.[23]
Medvedev D.[1]
4-66-46-3
R32
Sinner J.[10]
Isner J.[20]
W/O
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Fognini F.[25]
2-66-36-4
Khachanov K.[24]
Carreno Busta P.[12]
6-06-4
De Minaur A.[22]
Garin C.[13]
6-46-2
Basilashvili N.[29]
Ramos A.
4-67-626-2
Zverev A.[3]
Murray A.
6-47-64
Monfils G.[14]
Anderson K.
7-56-2
Fritz T.[31]
Berrettini M.[5]
6-46-3
Ruud C.[6]
Harris L.[26]
6-746-46-4
Schwartzman D.[11]
Evans D.[18]
5-76-46-0
Norrie C.[21]
Bautista Agut R.[15]
6-45-76-3
Karatsev A.[19]
Shapovalov D.[9]
7-56-2
Paul T.
Rublev A.[4]
6-43-67-5
Hurkacz H.[8]
Tiafoe F.
6-36-2
Dimitrov G.[23]
Opelka R.[16]
6-36-4
Medvedev D.[1]
Krajinovic F.[27]
6-27-61
R64
Anderson K.
Sonego L.[17]
7-677-63
Shapovalov D.[9]
Pospisil V.
3-0
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Martinez P.
6-26-4
Fognini F.[25]
Struff J.
6-44-66-3
De Minaur A.[22]
Vukic A.
6-47-5
Garin C.[13]
Escobedo E.
7-56-2
Carreno Busta P.[12]
Gomez E.
6-16-4
Khachanov K.[24]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-27-5
Basilashvili N.[29]
Eubanks C.
6-46-3
Ramos A.
Auger Aliassime F.[7]
6-46-2
Zverev A.[3]
Brooksby J.
6-43-66-1
Murray A.
Alcaraz C.[30]
5-76-36-2
Monfils G.[14]
Mager G.
6-46-2
Sinner J.[10]
Millman J.
6-26-2
Isner J.[20]
Nishioka Y.
6-36-4
Fritz T.[31]
Nakashima B.
6-36-4
Schwartzman D.[11]
Cressy M.
6-23-67-5
Berrettini M.[5]
Tabilo A.
6-47-5
Ruud C.[6]
Carballes Baena R.
6-16-2
Harris L.[26]
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-36-3
Evans D.[18]
Nishikori K.
4-66-36-4
Bautista Agut R.[15]
Pella G.
7-56-3
Norrie C.[21]
Sandgren T.
6-45-76-0
Paul T.
Lajovic D.[28]
6-26-3
Hurkacz H.[8]
Popyrin A.
6-17-5
Tiafoe F.
Korda S.[32]
6-06-4
Karatsev A.[19]
Caruso S.
6-06-2
Opelka R.[16]
Daniel T.
7-56-3
Dimitrov G.[23]
Altmaier D.
6-46-2
Medvedev D.[1]
Mcdonald M.
6-46-2
Rublev A.[4]
Taberner C.
6-36-4
Krajinovic F.[27]
Giron M.
7-627-5
R128
Nishioka Y.
Delbonis F.
6-33-67-62
Ruusuvuori E.
Koepfer D.
6-736-26-0
Eubanks C.
Gerasimov E.
6-36-3
Anderson K.
Thompson J.
7-56-2
Mager G.
Fucsovics M.
1-66-36-2
Millman J.
Sock J.
7-54-66-3
Nakashima B.
Coria F.
6-36-2
Tabilo A.
Kudla D.
6-17-60
Cressy M.
Djere L.
6-736-17-5
Carballes Baena R.
Olivo R.
7-57-5
Nishikori K.
Sousa J.
6-756-36-2
Pella G.
Kwon S.
1-66-36-4
Sandgren T.
Monteiro T.
6-46-3
Taberner C.
Munar J.
6-36-3
Popyrin A.
Kecmanovic M.
6-37-64
Tiafoe F.
Paire B.
6-46-4
Caruso S.
Svajda Z.
6-36-1
Daniel T.
Kohlschreiber P.
6-26-4
Pospisil V.
Wolf J.
6-44-66-4
Altmaier D.
Querrey S.
6-26-4
Giron M.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-776-26-4
Mcdonald M.
Duckworth J.
6-36-3
Paul T.
Lopez F.
6-37-63
Davidovich Fokina A.
Johnson S.
6-756-37-5
Martinez P.
Marcora R.
6-46-0
Struff J.
Galan D.
7-646-3
Vukic A.
Andujar P.
7-56-4
Escobedo E.
Rune H.
6-46-1
Gomez E.
Bagnis F.
6-36-1
Ramos A.
Musetti L.
6-16-3
Brooksby J.
Ilkel C.
7-656-4
Murray A.
Mannarino A.
6-36-2