Grigor Dimitrov vs Daniil MedvedevIndian Wells Masters Round of 16

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#146ATP
1744ELO
1736Hard ELO
$307kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 4 October 2021
hard
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Dimitrov G.
4-6 6-4 6-3
Medvedev D.
Dimitrov G.
4662
Medvedev D.
6431

Grigor Dimitrov defeated Daniil Medvedev 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 8–2. Grigor Dimitrov narrowed the head-to-head to 8–3.

Key context

Head to head

28
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-01WimbledonR16grassDaniil Medvedev5-3 RET
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-4
2023-10-30Paris MastersR32hardGrigor Dimitrov6-3 6-7(4) 7-6(2)
2023-10-23ViennaR16hardDaniil Medvedev3-6 6-2 6-4
2023-02-13RotterdamSFhardDaniil Medvedev6-1 6-2
2022-10-24ViennaSFhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-3
2019-08-26US OpenSFhardDaniil Medvedev7-6(5) 6-4 6-3
2017-07-31WashingtonR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2017-06-19Queen's ClubQFgrassGrigor Dimitrov6-3 3-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Dimitrov G.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Dimitrov G.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Dimitrov G.Medvedev D.
Serve
47
Return
94

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Even
7.6
7.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
96
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
66
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.2Hard Elo 1736
Surface ELO
7.8+227 Hard Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1744
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1977
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.5
Surface form
8.8
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
5.4
Country comfort
6.1
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
64
85

Dimitrov G.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 54 games (7d) · Medvedev D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
35°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 12%