Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas AlvarezSantiago 1 CH Round of 32

Santiago 1 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 October 2021
clay
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLWL
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-5 6-1
Alvarez N.
Ugo Carabelli C.
762
Alvarez N.
510

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Nicolas Alvarez 7-5 6-1 in the Santiago 1 CH round of 32 on clay.

Key context

  • Match story: Camilo Ugo Carabelli came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Alvarez N.

Alvarez N.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Alvarez N.
24
Serve
28
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 83). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
19
Break points saved·Dominant
90
38
Break points won·Dominant
62
12
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
38
Tiebreaks·Even
72
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
4.8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.0
Minutes 14d
8.5
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast