Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine Paolini — Chicago 2 Round of 64

Chicago 2 · WTA · Round of 64
Hailey Baptiste
USA
Hailey Baptiste
#30WTA
1844ELO
1781Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$3.6MCAREER
24 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 September 2021
hard
Jasmine Paolini
ITA
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Baptiste H.
7-5 6-3
Paolini J.
Baptiste H.
762
Paolini J.
530

Hailey Baptiste defeated Jasmine Paolini 7-5 6-3 in the Chicago 2 round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17. Hailey Baptiste extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridR32clayHailey Baptiste7-5 6-3
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayJasmine Paolini6-4 7-6(6)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Baptiste H.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Baptiste H.

Serve advantage — Paolini J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Baptiste H.Paolini J.
40
Serve
31
18
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Baptiste H.Paolini J.
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.4
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Baptiste H.Paolini J.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
83
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
87
Break points won·Clear edge
79
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Baptiste H.
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Injury return: 105 days (−1.5)
Paolini J.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1781
Surface ELO
6.3+92 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1905
5.0
H2H
5.0
Surface form
7.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.4
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Baptiste H.Paolini J.
Freshness·
—
72

Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Muguruza G.[2]
Jabeur O.[6]
3-66-36-0
Semi-finals
Jabeur O.[6]
Rybakina E.[5]
6-43-2
Muguruza G.[2]
Vondrousova M.
W/O
Quarter-finals
Vondrousova M.
Collins D.[10]
6-746-07-63
Jabeur O.[6]
Svitolina E.[1]
6-46-2
Muguruza G.[2]
Hontama M.
6-36-2
Rybakina E.[5]
Bencic B.[3]
6-43-1
R16
Muguruza G.[2]
Azarenka V.[14]
W/O
Svitolina E.[1]
Ruse E.
6-36-3
Jabeur O.[6]
Pegula J.[9]
1-66-26-3
Bencic B.[3]
Martincova T.
6-27-65
Rybakina E.[5]
Kudermetova V.[12]
7-647-5
Collins D.[10]
Mertens E.[7]
6-26-4
Vondrousova M.
Teichmann J.[16]
6-46-3
Hontama M.
Rogers S.
6-46-716-1
R32
Vondrousova M.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[4]
6-36-2
Teichmann J.[16]
Linette M.
6-26-4
Hontama M.
Kontaveit A.[11]
W/O
Svitolina E.[1]
Anisimova A.
6-46-3
Ruse E.
Baindl K.
7-56-2
Pegula J.[9]
Petkovic A.
6-27-5
Jabeur O.[6]
Hsieh S.
6-16-0
Bencic B.[3]
Inglis M.
5-76-16-0
Martincova T.
Zidansek T.[13]
6-27-5
Kudermetova V.[12]
Dart H.
6-36-4
Rybakina E.[5]
Sasnovich A.
6-46-4
Mertens E.[7]
Yastremska D.
6-16-3
Collins D.[10]
Doi M.
4-66-37-5
Rogers S.
Andreescu B.[8]
6-47-5
Azarenka V.[14]
Baptiste H.
6-24-66-3
Muguruza G.[2]
Li A.
6-46-4
R64
Baindl K.
Kostyuk M.
6-726-36-0
Doi M.
Bouzkova M.
6-36-746-3
Sasnovich A.
Keys M.
6-42-0
Hsieh S.
Clijsters K.
6-35-76-3
Petkovic A.
Govortsova O.
6-26-2
Vondrousova M.
Tomljanovic A.
6-26-1
Hontama M.
Garcia C.
6-36-0
Teichmann J.[16]
Kanepi K.
7-637-5
Ruse E.
Giorgi C.[15]
6-46-2
Anisimova A.
Golubic V.
6-05-76-4
Pegula J.[9]
Frech M.
6-36-0
Collins D.[10]
Flipkens K.
6-46-2
Inglis M.
Dolehide C.
4-66-26-4
Zidansek T.[13]
Stephens S.
6-26-1
Dart H.
Haddad Maia B.
6-13-66-1
Linette M.
Vandeweghe C.
6-16-4
Rogers S.
Cabrera L.
6-26-1
Kontaveit A.[11]
Brengle M.
6-46-3
Azarenka V.[14]
Zhang S.
6-26-1
Baptiste H.
Paolini J.
7-56-3
Li A.
Vekic D.
6-36-1
Kudermetova V.[12]
Kalinskaya A.
7-684-66-2
Martincova T.
Osorio C.
6-37-5
Yastremska D.
Cornet A.
7-56-1