Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Francisco CerundoloLima 1 CH Round of 32

Lima 1 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#294ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 September 2021
clay
#22ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6-2 6-4
Cerundolo F.
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
662
Cerundolo F.
240

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida defeated Francisco Cerundolo 6-2 6-4 in the Lima 1 CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #22, but Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 4 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

wins 56% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Pucinelli De Almeida M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Pucinelli De Almeida M.Cerundolo F.
Serve
23
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
5
88
Break points saved·Dominant
36
98
Break points won·Dominant
43
86
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
1
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
0.0Clay Elo 1404
Surface ELO
10.0+464 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1412
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1931
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
8.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
65
98

Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Cerundolo F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast