Paula Badosa vs Varvara GrachevaOstrava Round of 32

Ostrava · WTA · Round of 32
#115WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 September 2021
hard
#95WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Badosa P.
6-2 6-2
Gracheva V.
Badosa P.
662
Gracheva V.
220

Paula Badosa defeated Varvara Gracheva 6-2 6-2 in the Ostrava round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in ranked #95, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Paula Badosa narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-08-30US OpenR64hardVarvara Gracheva6-4 6-4
2021-04-05Charleston 1R64clayPaula Badosa3-6 7-5 6-1
2020-08-31US OpenR128hardVarvara Gracheva6-4 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Badosa P.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Gracheva V.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Serve advantage — Badosa P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Badosa P.Gracheva V.
21
Serve
3
19
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
74
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
76
Break points won·Slight edge
94
87
Deciding sets·Slight edge
95
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
94
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1748
Surface ELO
5.3+16 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1810
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
4.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.1
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
63

Badosa P.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast