Alex Rybakov vs Jesper De JongSzczecin CH Qualifying Round 2

Szczecin CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#428ATP
1352ELO
1311Clay ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 September 2021
clay
#73ATP
1711ELO
1696Clay ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWWWL
Rybakov A.
3-6 6-3 6-2
De Jong J.
Rybakov A.
3662
De Jong J.
6321

Alex Rybakov defeated Jesper De Jong 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the Szczecin CH qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jesper De Jong came in ranked #73.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakov A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs De Jong J.

De Jong J.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Rybakov A.

Serve advantage — De Jong J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
5.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (185 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
15
57
Break points saved·Slight edge
84
90
Break points won·Dominant
5
37
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
1.0Clay Elo 1311
Surface ELO
9.0+385 Clay Elo edge
1.4Overall Elo 1352
ELO gap
8.6Overall Elo 1711
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
5.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
78

Rybakov A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · De Jong J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast