Leylah Fernandez vs Aryna SabalenkaUS Open Semi-final

US Open · WTA · Semi-final
#24WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 August 2021
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Fernandez L.
7-6 4-6 6-4
Sabalenka A.
Fernandez L.
77462
Sabalenka A.
63641

Leylah Fernandez defeated Aryna Sabalenka 7-6 4-6 6-4 in the US Open semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Leylah Fernandez claimed a first win over Aryna Sabalenka in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Fernandez L.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fernandez L.Sabalenka A.
60
Serve
96
27
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.6
4.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
98
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Slight edge
95
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
75
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
88

Fernandez L.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw

Semi-finals
Fernandez L.
Sabalenka A.
7-634-66-4
Raducanu E.
Sakkari M.
6-16-4
R128
Grammatikopoulou V.
Blinkova A.
6-36-2
Muguruza G.
Vekic D.
7-647-65
Andreescu B.
Golubic V.
7-54-67-5
Sabalenka A.
Stojanovic N.
6-46-746-0
Hsieh S.
Liu C.
6-16-4
Zhang S.
Baptiste H.
6-36-4
Bencic B.
Rus A.
6-46-4
Masarova R.
Bogdan A.
6-797-627-69
Sakkari M.
Kostyuk M.
6-46-3
Svitolina E.
Marino R.
6-26-3
Minnen G.
Podoroska N.
6-41-66-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Riske Amritraj A.
6-46-2
Rakhimova K.
Mladenovic K.
2-66-26-3
Kontaveit A.
Stosur S.
6-36-0
Jabeur O.
Cornet A.
7-57-5
Zidansek T.
Pera B.
6-47-64
Juvan K.
Watson H.
6-16-4
Collins D.
Suarez Navarro C.
6-26-4
Osorio C.
Jorovic I.
6-26-2
Barty A.
Zvonareva V.
6-17-67
Tauson C.
Burel C.
7-56-0
Mertens E.
Peterson R.
3-67-657-65
Petkovic A.
Begu I.
6-27-63
Paolini J.
Shvedova Y.
6-36-4
Azarenka V.
Martincova T.
6-46-0
Alexandrova E.
Errani S.
6-36-2
Rogers S.
Brengle M.
6-46-0
Cirstea S.
Kudermetova V.
7-653-66-0
Sorribes Tormo S.
Muchova K.
6-27-63
Raducanu E.
Voegele S.
6-26-3
Trevisan M.
Vandeweghe C.
6-17-5
Mchale C.
Navarro E.
6-17-65
Krejcikova B.
Sharma A.
6-06-4
Osaka N.
Bouzkova M.
6-46-1
Danilovic O.
Parks A.
6-37-5
Fernandez L.
Konjuh A.
7-636-2
Kanepi K.
Putintseva Y.
2-67-646-2
Doi M.
Hunter S.
7-636-3
Pegula J.
Potapova A.
6-26-2
Teichmann J.
Bucsa C.
6-36-4
Ferro F.
Hibino N.
6-16-4
Swiatek I.
Loeb J.
6-36-4
Pliskova K.
Mcnally C.
6-36-4
Gauff C.
Linette M.
5-76-36-4
Stephens S.
Keys M.
6-31-67-67
Kalinina A.
Sherif M.
4-66-16-1
Kerber A.
Yastremska D.
3-66-47-63
Halep S.
Giorgi C.
6-47-63
Kucova K.
Li A.
7-56-1
Garcia C.
Dart H.
6-766-46-2
Rybakina E.
Sasnovich A.
6-26-3
Kasatkina D.
Pironkova T.
6-26-1
Vondrousova M.
Ruse E.
7-56-0
Anisimova A.
Diyas Z.
7-56-2
Tomljanovic A.
Volynets K.
6-36-1
Martic P.
Galfi D.
6-36-2
Badosa P.
Van Uytvanck A.
6-46-3
Gracheva V.
Parrizas Diaz N.
5-76-06-2
Schmiedlova A.
Krueger A.
7-56-736-3
Kvitova P.
Hercog P.
6-16-2
Pliskova K.
Kovinic D.
6-46-3
Siniakova K.
Sevastova A.
7-666-3
Samsonova L.
Boulter K.
6-36-2
Davis L.
Tomova V.
6-22-66-3