Alexei Popyrin vs Yosuke WatanukiWinston-Salem Qualifying Round 2

Winston-Salem · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 August 2021
hard
#305ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
Popyrin A.
6-2 4-6 6-1
Watanuki Y.
Popyrin A.
6462
Watanuki Y.
2611

Alexei Popyrin defeated Yosuke Watanuki 6-2 4-6 6-1 in the Winston-Salem qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexei Popyrin came in ranked #103, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Alexei Popyrin extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Alexei Popyrin came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–2 4–6 6–1.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-09-30TokyoQ1hardAlexei Popyrin4-6 6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Popyrin A.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Watanuki Y.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Popyrin A.Watanuki Y.
41
Serve
11
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
9.7
8.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
59
52
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
89
Break points won·Clear edge
6
20
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
61
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
6.4+150 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1531
6.6Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1541
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.7
Surface form
4.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
94

Popyrin A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Watanuki Y.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast