Daria Kasatkina vs Caty McnallyCleveland Round of 16

Cleveland · WTA · Round of 16
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 August 2021
hard
#57WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Kasatkina D.
2-6 6-4 6-2
Mcnally C.
Kasatkina D.
2662
Mcnally C.
6421

Daria Kasatkina defeated Caty Mcnally 2-6 6-4 6-2 in the Cleveland round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Caty Mcnally came in ranked #57.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Mcnally C.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Mcnally C.
0
Serve
25
95
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
70%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
45%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.7
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 188). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
73
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
73
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
74
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+26 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1731
5.2Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1817
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
3.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
8.8
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
97

Kasatkina D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mcnally C.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast