Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Maks KasnikowskiWarsaw CH Round of 32

Warsaw CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 August 2021
clay
#252ATP
1400ELO
1418Clay ELO
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-2 6-4
Kasnikowski M.
Ugo Carabelli C.
662
Kasnikowski M.
240

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Maks Kasnikowski 6-2 6-4 in the Warsaw CH round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kasnikowski M.

Kasnikowski M.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Kasnikowski M.
24
Serve
36
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 180). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
13
Break points saved·Dominant
90
56
Break points won·Dominant
62
16
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
16
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
8.5+323 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Clay Elo 1418
9.2Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
0.8Overall Elo 1400
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
1.9
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
55

Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest · Kasnikowski M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast